AGI is not a singular, monolithic endeavor, but rather a complex interplay of advancements across mu

From the post I was responding to: “AGI is not a singular, monolithic endeavor, but rather a complex interplay of advancements across multiple technological and scientific domains. And so, while AGI is likely to follow its own combined S-curve over time - the multi-dimensional nature of AGI progress suggests that its emergence will likely be the result of numerous S-curve advancements in various fields, each progressing at slightly different rates and phases”

I couldn’t agree more — as a mental model, not a measurable forecast: nobody has defined the axis that combined S-curve would be plotted on. If we accept this framing, we can 1/focus on the great tools we have in LLMs and use them where they shine and 2/ focus on developing additional technical capabilities.

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